1 | #region License Information
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2 | /* HeuristicLab
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3 | * Copyright (C) 2002-2013 Heuristic and Evolutionary Algorithms Laboratory (HEAL)
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4 | *
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5 | * This file is part of HeuristicLab.
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6 | *
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7 | * HeuristicLab is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
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8 | * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
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9 | * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
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10 | * (at your option) any later version.
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11 | *
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12 | * HeuristicLab is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
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13 | * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
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14 | * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
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15 | * GNU General Public License for more details.
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16 | *
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17 | * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
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18 | * along with HeuristicLab. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
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19 | */
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20 | #endregion
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21 |
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22 | using System;
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23 | using System.Collections.Generic;
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24 |
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25 | namespace HeuristicLab.Problems.DataAnalysis {
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26 | public class OnlineTheilsUStatisticCalculator : IOnlineTimeSeriesCalculator {
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27 | private OnlineMeanAndVarianceCalculator squaredErrorMeanCalculator;
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28 | private OnlineMeanAndVarianceCalculator unbiasedEstimatorMeanCalculator;
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29 |
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30 | public double TheilsUStatistic {
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31 | get {
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32 | return Math.Sqrt(squaredErrorMeanCalculator.Mean) / Math.Sqrt(unbiasedEstimatorMeanCalculator.Mean);
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33 | }
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34 | }
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35 |
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36 | private OnlineCalculatorError errorState;
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37 | public OnlineCalculatorError ErrorState {
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38 | get { return errorState | squaredErrorMeanCalculator.MeanErrorState | unbiasedEstimatorMeanCalculator.MeanErrorState; }
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39 | }
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40 |
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41 | public OnlineTheilsUStatisticCalculator() {
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42 | squaredErrorMeanCalculator = new OnlineMeanAndVarianceCalculator();
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43 | unbiasedEstimatorMeanCalculator = new OnlineMeanAndVarianceCalculator();
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44 | Reset();
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45 | }
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46 |
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47 | #region IOnlineEvaluator Members
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48 | public double Value {
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49 | get { return TheilsUStatistic; }
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50 | }
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51 |
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52 | public void Add(double startValue, IEnumerable<double> actualContinuation, IEnumerable<double> predictedContinuation) {
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53 | throw new NotSupportedException();
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54 | }
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55 |
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56 | public void Add(double startValue, IEnumerable<double> actualContinuation, IEnumerable<double> referenceContinuation, IEnumerable<double> predictedContinuation) {
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57 | if (double.IsNaN(startValue) || (errorState & OnlineCalculatorError.InvalidValueAdded) > 0) {
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58 | errorState = errorState | OnlineCalculatorError.InvalidValueAdded;
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59 | } else {
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60 | var actualEnumerator = actualContinuation.GetEnumerator();
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61 | var predictedEnumerator = predictedContinuation.GetEnumerator();
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62 | var referenceEnumerator = referenceContinuation.GetEnumerator();
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63 | while (actualEnumerator.MoveNext() & predictedEnumerator.MoveNext() & referenceEnumerator.MoveNext()
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64 | & ErrorState != OnlineCalculatorError.InvalidValueAdded) {
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65 | double actual = actualEnumerator.Current;
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66 | double predicted = predictedEnumerator.Current;
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67 | double reference = referenceEnumerator.Current;
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68 | if (double.IsNaN(actual) || double.IsNaN(predicted) || double.IsNaN(reference)) {
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69 | errorState = errorState | OnlineCalculatorError.InvalidValueAdded;
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70 | } else {
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71 | // error of predicted change
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72 | double errorPredictedChange = (predicted - startValue) - (actual - startValue);
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73 | squaredErrorMeanCalculator.Add(errorPredictedChange * errorPredictedChange);
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74 |
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75 | double errorReference = (reference - startValue) - (actual - startValue);
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76 | unbiasedEstimatorMeanCalculator.Add(errorReference * errorReference);
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77 | }
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78 | }
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79 | // check if both enumerators are at the end to make sure both enumerations have the same length
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80 | if (actualEnumerator.MoveNext() || predictedEnumerator.MoveNext() || referenceEnumerator.MoveNext()) {
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81 | errorState = errorState | OnlineCalculatorError.InvalidValueAdded;
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82 | } else {
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83 | errorState = errorState & (~OnlineCalculatorError.InsufficientElementsAdded); // n >= 1
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84 | }
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85 | }
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86 | }
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87 |
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88 |
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89 | public void Reset() {
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90 | squaredErrorMeanCalculator.Reset();
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91 | unbiasedEstimatorMeanCalculator.Reset();
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92 | errorState = OnlineCalculatorError.InsufficientElementsAdded;
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93 | }
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94 |
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95 | #endregion
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96 |
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97 | public static double Calculate(double startValue, IEnumerable<double> actualContinuation, IEnumerable<double> referenceContinuation, IEnumerable<double> predictedContinuation, out OnlineCalculatorError errorState) {
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98 | OnlineTheilsUStatisticCalculator calculator = new OnlineTheilsUStatisticCalculator();
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99 | calculator.Add(startValue, actualContinuation, referenceContinuation, predictedContinuation);
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100 | errorState = calculator.ErrorState;
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101 | return calculator.TheilsUStatistic;
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102 | }
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103 |
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104 | public static double Calculate(IEnumerable<double> startValues, IEnumerable<IEnumerable<double>> actualContinuations, IEnumerable<IEnumerable<double>> referenceContinuations, IEnumerable<IEnumerable<double>> predictedContinuations, out OnlineCalculatorError errorState) {
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105 | IEnumerator<double> startValueEnumerator = startValues.GetEnumerator();
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106 | IEnumerator<IEnumerable<double>> actualContinuationsEnumerator = actualContinuations.GetEnumerator();
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107 | IEnumerator<IEnumerable<double>> referenceContinuationsEnumerator = referenceContinuations.GetEnumerator();
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108 | IEnumerator<IEnumerable<double>> predictedContinuationsEnumerator = predictedContinuations.GetEnumerator();
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109 |
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110 | OnlineTheilsUStatisticCalculator calculator = new OnlineTheilsUStatisticCalculator();
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111 |
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112 | // always move forward all enumerators (do not use short-circuit evaluation!)
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113 | while (startValueEnumerator.MoveNext() & actualContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext() & referenceContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext() & predictedContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext()) {
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114 | calculator.Add(startValueEnumerator.Current, actualContinuationsEnumerator.Current, referenceContinuationsEnumerator.Current, predictedContinuationsEnumerator.Current);
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115 | if (calculator.ErrorState != OnlineCalculatorError.None) break;
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116 | }
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117 |
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118 | // check if all enumerators are at the end to make sure both enumerations have the same length
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119 | if (calculator.ErrorState == OnlineCalculatorError.None &&
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120 | (startValueEnumerator.MoveNext() || actualContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext() || referenceContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext() || predictedContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext())) {
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121 | throw new ArgumentException("Number of elements in startValues, actualContinuations, referenceContinuation and estimatedValues predictedContinuations doesn't match.");
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122 | } else {
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123 | errorState = calculator.ErrorState;
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124 | return calculator.TheilsUStatistic;
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125 | }
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126 | }
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127 | }
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128 | }
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