#region License Information /* HeuristicLab * Copyright (C) 2002-2008 Heuristic and Evolutionary Algorithms Laboratory (HEAL) * * This file is part of HeuristicLab. * * HeuristicLab is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or * (at your option) any later version. * * HeuristicLab is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the * GNU General Public License for more details. * * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License * along with HeuristicLab. If not, see . */ #endregion using HeuristicLab.Core; using HeuristicLab.Data; using HeuristicLab.GP.Interfaces; using HeuristicLab.DataAnalysis; using System.Linq; namespace HeuristicLab.GP.StructureIdentification.TimeSeries { public class ProfitEvaluator : GPEvaluatorBase { public override string Description { get { return @"TASK"; } } public ProfitEvaluator() : base() { AddVariableInfo(new VariableInfo("ExchangeRate", "The index of the variable in the dataset for the exchange rate", typeof(IntData), VariableKind.In)); AddVariableInfo(new VariableInfo("Profit", "The estimated profit of the model", typeof(DoubleData), VariableKind.New)); AddVariableInfo(new VariableInfo("TransactionCost", "Cost of a trade in percent of the transaction volume (0..1)", typeof(DoubleData), VariableKind.In)); } public override void Evaluate(IScope scope, IFunctionTree tree, ITreeEvaluator evaluator, Dataset dataset, int targetVariable, int start, int end) { int exchangeRateVarIndex = GetVariableValue("ExchangeRate", scope, true).Data; double transactionCost = GetVariableValue("TransactionCost", scope, true).Data; DoubleData profit = GetVariableValue("Profit", scope, false, false); if (profit == null) { profit = new DoubleData(); scope.AddVariable(new HeuristicLab.Core.Variable(scope.TranslateName("Profit"), profit)); } double cA = 1.0; // start with a capital of one entity of A double cB = 0; double exchangeRate = double.MaxValue; double[] estimatedValues = evaluator.Evaluate(dataset, tree, Enumerable.Range(start, end - start)).ToArray(); double[] originalValues = dataset.GetVariableValues(targetVariable, start, end); double[] exchangeRateValues = dataset.GetVariableValues(exchangeRateVarIndex, start, end); for (int i = 0; i < estimatedValues.Length; i++) { exchangeRate = exchangeRateValues[i]; double originalPercentageChange = originalValues[i]; double estimatedPercentageChange = estimatedValues[i]; if (!double.IsNaN(originalPercentageChange) && !double.IsInfinity(originalPercentageChange)) { if (estimatedPercentageChange > 0) { // prediction is the rate of B/A will increase (= get more B for one A) => exchange all B to A cA += (cB / exchangeRate) * (1 - transactionCost); cB = 0; } else if (estimatedPercentageChange < 0) { // prediction is the rate of B/A will drop (= get more A for one B) => exchange all A to B cB += (cA * exchangeRate) * (1 - transactionCost); cA = 0; } } } if (double.IsNaN(cA) || double.IsInfinity(cA) || double.IsInfinity(cB) || double.IsNaN(cB)) { cA = 0; cB = 0; } // at the end we must exchange all B back to A // (because we want to buy the local beer not import one from B-country) profit.Data = cA + ((cB / exchangeRate) * (1 - transactionCost)); profit.Data -= 1.0; // substract the start capital to determine actual profit } } }