#region License Information /* HeuristicLab * Copyright (C) 2002-2011 Heuristic and Evolutionary Algorithms Laboratory (HEAL) * * This file is part of HeuristicLab. * * HeuristicLab is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or * (at your option) any later version. * * HeuristicLab is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the * GNU General Public License for more details. * * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License * along with HeuristicLab. If not, see . */ #endregion using System; using System.Collections.Generic; using System.Drawing.Printing; using System.Linq; using HeuristicLab.Common; using HeuristicLab.Core; using HeuristicLab.Data; using HeuristicLab.Encodings.SymbolicExpressionTreeEncoding; using HeuristicLab.Persistence.Default.CompositeSerializers.Storable; namespace HeuristicLab.Problems.DataAnalysis.Symbolic.TimeSeriesPrognosis { [Item("Mean squared error Evaluator", "Calculates the mean squared error of a symbolic time-series prognosis solution.")] [StorableClass] public class SymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisSingleObjectiveMeanSquaredErrorEvaluator : SymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisSingleObjectiveEvaluator { [StorableConstructor] protected SymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisSingleObjectiveMeanSquaredErrorEvaluator(bool deserializing) : base(deserializing) { } protected SymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisSingleObjectiveMeanSquaredErrorEvaluator(SymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisSingleObjectiveMeanSquaredErrorEvaluator original, Cloner cloner) : base(original, cloner) { } public override IDeepCloneable Clone(Cloner cloner) { return new SymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisSingleObjectiveMeanSquaredErrorEvaluator(this, cloner); } public SymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisSingleObjectiveMeanSquaredErrorEvaluator() : base() { } public override bool Maximization { get { return false; } } public override IOperation Apply() { var solution = SymbolicExpressionTreeParameter.ActualValue; IEnumerable rows = GenerateRowsToEvaluate(); double quality = Calculate(SymbolicDataAnalysisTreeInterpreterParameter.ActualValue, solution, EstimationLimitsParameter.ActualValue.Lower, EstimationLimitsParameter.ActualValue.Upper, ProblemDataParameter.ActualValue, rows, HorizonParameter.ActualValue.Value); QualityParameter.ActualValue = new DoubleValue(quality); return base.Apply(); } public static double Calculate(ISymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisExpressionTreeInterpreter interpreter, ISymbolicExpressionTree solution, double lowerEstimationLimit, double upperEstimationLimit, ITimeSeriesPrognosisProblemData problemData, IEnumerable rows, int horizon) { double[] alpha; double[] beta; DetermineScalingFactors(solution, problemData, interpreter, rows, out alpha, out beta); var scaledSolution = Scale(solution, alpha, beta); string[] targetVariables = problemData.TargetVariables.ToArray(); var meanSquaredErrorCalculators = Enumerable.Range(0, problemData.TargetVariables.Count()) .Select(i => new OnlineMeanSquaredErrorCalculator()).ToArray(); var allContinuationsEnumerator = interpreter.GetSymbolicExpressionTreeValues(scaledSolution, problemData.Dataset, targetVariables, rows, horizon).GetEnumerator(); allContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext(); // foreach row foreach (var row in rows) { // foreach horizon for (int h = 0; h < horizon; h++) { // foreach component for (int i = 0; i < meanSquaredErrorCalculators.Length; i++) { double e = Math.Min(upperEstimationLimit, Math.Max(lowerEstimationLimit, allContinuationsEnumerator.Current)); meanSquaredErrorCalculators[i].Add(problemData.Dataset.GetDoubleValue(targetVariables[i], row + h), e); if (meanSquaredErrorCalculators[i].ErrorState == OnlineCalculatorError.InvalidValueAdded) return double.MaxValue; allContinuationsEnumerator.MoveNext(); } } } var meanCalculator = new OnlineMeanAndVarianceCalculator(); foreach (var calc in meanSquaredErrorCalculators) { if (calc.ErrorState != OnlineCalculatorError.None) return double.MaxValue; meanCalculator.Add(calc.MeanSquaredError); } //int i = 0; //foreach (var targetVariable in problemData.TargetVariables) { // var predictedContinuations = allPredictedContinuations.Select(v => v.ElementAt(i)); // for (int h = 0; h < horizon; h++) { // OnlineCalculatorError errorState; // meanCalculator.Add(OnlineMeanSquaredErrorCalculator.Calculate(predictedContinuations // .Select(x => x.ElementAt(h)) // .LimitToRange(lowerEstimationLimit, // upperEstimationLimit), // actualContinuations.Select(x => x.ElementAt(h)), // out errorState)); // if (errorState != OnlineCalculatorError.None) return double.NaN; // } //} return meanCalculator.MeanErrorState == OnlineCalculatorError.None ? meanCalculator.Mean : double.MaxValue; } private static ISymbolicExpressionTree Scale(ISymbolicExpressionTree solution, double[] alpha, double[] beta) { var clone = (ISymbolicExpressionTree)solution.Clone(); int n = alpha.Length; for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) { var parent = clone.Root.GetSubtree(0); var rpb = clone.Root.GetSubtree(0).GetSubtree(i); var scaledRpb = MakeSum( MakeProduct(rpb, MakeConstant(beta[i], clone.Root.Grammar), clone.Root.Grammar), MakeConstant(alpha[i], clone.Root.Grammar), clone.Root.Grammar); parent.RemoveSubtree(i); parent.InsertSubtree(i, scaledRpb); } return clone; } private static ISymbolicExpressionTreeNode MakeSum(ISymbolicExpressionTreeNode a, ISymbolicExpressionTreeNode b, ISymbolicExpressionTreeGrammar grammar) { var sum = grammar.Symbols.Where(s => s is Addition).First().CreateTreeNode(); sum.AddSubtree(a); sum.AddSubtree(b); return sum; } private static ISymbolicExpressionTreeNode MakeProduct(ISymbolicExpressionTreeNode a, ISymbolicExpressionTreeNode b, ISymbolicExpressionTreeGrammar grammar) { var prod = grammar.Symbols.Where(s => s is Multiplication).First().CreateTreeNode(); prod.AddSubtree(a); prod.AddSubtree(b); return prod; } private static ISymbolicExpressionTreeNode MakeConstant(double c, ISymbolicExpressionTreeGrammar grammar) { var node = (ConstantTreeNode)grammar.Symbols.Where(s => s is Constant).First().CreateTreeNode(); node.Value = c; return node; } private static void DetermineScalingFactors(ISymbolicExpressionTree solution, ITimeSeriesPrognosisProblemData problemData, ISymbolicTimeSeriesPrognosisExpressionTreeInterpreter interpreter, IEnumerable rows, out double[] alpha, out double[] beta) { string[] targetVariables = problemData.TargetVariables.ToArray(); int nComponents = targetVariables.Length; alpha = new double[nComponents]; beta = new double[nComponents]; var oneStepPredictionsEnumerator = interpreter.GetSymbolicExpressionTreeValues(solution, problemData.Dataset, targetVariables, rows).GetEnumerator(); var scalingParameterCalculators = Enumerable.Repeat(0, nComponents).Select(x => new OnlineLinearScalingParameterCalculator()).ToArray(); var targetValues = problemData.Dataset.GetVectorEnumerable(targetVariables, rows); var targetValueEnumerator = targetValues.GetEnumerator(); var more = oneStepPredictionsEnumerator.MoveNext() & targetValueEnumerator.MoveNext(); while (more) { for (int i = 0; i < nComponents; i++) { scalingParameterCalculators[i].Add(oneStepPredictionsEnumerator.Current, targetValueEnumerator.Current); more = oneStepPredictionsEnumerator.MoveNext() & targetValueEnumerator.MoveNext(); } } for (int i = 0; i < nComponents; i++) { if (scalingParameterCalculators[i].ErrorState == OnlineCalculatorError.None) { alpha[i] = scalingParameterCalculators[i].Alpha; beta[i] = scalingParameterCalculators[i].Beta; } else { alpha[i] = 0.0; beta[i] = 1.0; } } } public override double Evaluate(IExecutionContext context, ISymbolicExpressionTree tree, ITimeSeriesPrognosisProblemData problemData, IEnumerable rows) { SymbolicDataAnalysisTreeInterpreterParameter.ExecutionContext = context; EstimationLimitsParameter.ExecutionContext = context; HorizonParameter.ExecutionContext = context; double mse = Calculate(SymbolicDataAnalysisTreeInterpreterParameter.ActualValue, tree, EstimationLimitsParameter.ActualValue.Lower, EstimationLimitsParameter.ActualValue.Upper, problemData, rows, HorizonParameter.ActualValue.Value); HorizonParameter.ExecutionContext = null; SymbolicDataAnalysisTreeInterpreterParameter.ExecutionContext = null; EstimationLimitsParameter.ExecutionContext = null; return mse; } } }